T&D programmes are governed by outage windows, consents and connection dates — dependencies largely outside your control. The forecast has to model that dependency risk explicitly rather than assume it away.
The maths is the same everywhere. These are the sector-specific conditions that make a generic forecast wrong.
System operator outages are scheduled far ahead and are hard to move. Missing one usually means waiting for the next planning cycle.
A missed outage can cost two quartersEasements, planning consent and landowner negotiation have durations set by other parties and routinely exceed the construction they enable.
The longest activity is often paperworkMissing a customer or generator connection date has liquidated damages attached. The date is a liability, not just a milestone.
Late connection has a price per dayTransformers, GIS and cable carry lead times of a year or more. Order dates, not construction dates, set the achievable programme.
The order date is the real milestoneCommissioning and energisation sit at the very end, where there is no float left, and any defect found is discovered at the worst moment.
Zero float at the highest-risk phaseThe engine is identical across industries. The pack is the content that makes it speak your sector's language from the first time you open it.
BAC $58M. EV $27.9M, AC $30.4M, PV $29.6M. One wayleave is unresolved and the next suitable outage window is 11 weeks away.
Illustrative figures, shown to demonstrate the method. Your numbers replace them.
Forecast Engine $299 · Power T&D pack $99 · all eight packs $499
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